Kelly Olynyk Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Made 3 Point Shots

Brooklyn Nets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 2.1 rate, Kelly Olynyk's off the mark three-pointers have regressed this year to 1.0 per game.
The fastest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Jazz.
The Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has collected 8.7 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Kelly Olynyk slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.6 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
In regard to shots from downtown, the Jazz's poor 35.0% rate of successful threes while playing away from home settles in as the 6th-lowest in the league this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team has averaged the 9th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (13.6).
The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Nets).
Kelly Olynyk stands to see a decline in production in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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