Kelly Olynyk Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -166.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has totaled 4.2 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 87th percentile.
Kelly Olynyk has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 more than he's played overall this season.
The fastest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Kelly Olynyk will likely see a rise in performance in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has accumulated 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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