Kelly Olynyk Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has compiled 4.2 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 87th percentile.
The speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 13thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense).
Kelly Olynyk figures to see a rise in efficiency for all stats on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Raptors.

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