Kelly Olynyk Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has put up 4.3 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 87th percentile.
Compared to last year's 3.4 mark, Kelly Olynyk's personal fouls per game have tailed off this year to 2.6.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 28.5 rate, Kelly Olynyk's playing time has fallen this year to 20.5 minutes per game.
The 8th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Raptors.

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