Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Apr 23, 2025

Updated Apr 23, 2025 11:13 PM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 60.3% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season while playing away from home.
Kel'el Ware has played 26.2 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 5.7 higher than he's played overall this season on the road.
The Heat have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The number of field goal attempts against Jarrett Allen has been quite high (10.1 per game) when at home and defending fellow starting Cs this year (81st percentile).
The faceoff with Jarrett Allen with respect to drawing fouls places in just the 88th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 3.2 free throws per game this year when they are playing on the road.

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has converted 25.5% of his 3-point shots this year, ranking in the 19th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kel'el Ware will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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