Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Apr 20, 2025

Updated Apr 21, 2025 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 64.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 10.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Kel'el Ware has played 26.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games while on the road, 6.0 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road.
In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 124.0 points per game when playing away from home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when Allen is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 10.1 field goals per game (75th percentile).
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Cavaliers).

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kel'el Ware has converted 64.1% of his free throws while on the road this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the league.
Kel'el Ware should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.

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