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Kel'el Ware

Kel'el Ware Points
Player Prop - 4/13/2025

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

 
 
 
Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kel'el Ware has sunk 61.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.9% higher than he's converted overall this season.
  • Kel'el Ware has tallied 28.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
  • The number of points put up against Alex Sarr has been remarkably high (16.9 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • The clash with Alex Sarr as it relates to getting to the foul line rates in just the 80th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kel'el Ware has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
  • When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league on their home court over the last 10 games has been the Heat.
  • The most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).
  • Kel'el Ware has converted 67.1% of his free throw attempts while at home this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the league.

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