Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has converted 62.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 8.5% more than he's converted overall this season.
Kel'el Ware has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 28.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season when playing on the road.
Kel'el Ware has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Miami Heat.

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The number of 3-pointers sunk against Kylor Kelley has been quite low (0.3 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kel'el Ware will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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