Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 5, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has sunk 61.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.0% more than he's sunk overall this season.
Kel'el Ware has made 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 22.5% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
Kel'el Ware has tallied 28.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The number of 3-pointers attempted against Brook Lopez has been remarkably high (3.0 per game) when playing on the road and facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this year.
The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league while at home with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
The showdown with Brook Lopez in regard to getting to the charity stripe registers in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting only 2.3 free throws per game this year when they are playing at home.

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