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Kel'el Ware

Kel'el Ware Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2025

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kel'el Ware has converted 67.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 12.8% more than he's converted overall this year.

Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Alex Sarr is a positive one; he has given up a massive 17.2 points per game when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kel'el Ware has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Kel'el Ware measures in the 19th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a feeble 66.1% rate this year.

The matchup against Alex Sarr is a hard one for drawing fouls; when Sarr is on his home court and defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game (17th percentile).

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