Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 30, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has made 61.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 8.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Kel'el Ware has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games on the road in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. Adem Bona is a good one for threes; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a massive 45.9% of their three-pointers (97th percentile).
The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 6 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has converted 25.4% of his three-point attempts this year, putting him in the 18th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kel'el Ware has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.4 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Adem Bona has been quite low this year (2.6 free throws per game when they are on their home court: 21st percentile).

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