Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has sunk 6.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Kel'el Ware has averaged 28.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games while on his home court, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.
The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.4).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Kel'el Ware has made 46.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 20.3% less than he's sunk over the course of the year.

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