Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has made 71.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Kel'el Ware slots into the 79th percentile for three-point performance playing at home with a superb 39.1% rate this year.
Kel'el Ware has tallied 28.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games while at home, 4.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The Miami Heat have been the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a favorable one for scoring; the other team's starting PFs have posted the highest FG% in the NBA this year (55.8%).

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this season.
The most lethargic pace home team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Hornets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Hornets are the visiting squad (3rd-least in the league).

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