Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has sunk 67.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's made overall this year.
Kel'el Ware has averaged 27.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games while on his home court, 4.5 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
With respect to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's fantastic 38.1% rate of made threes at home measures as the 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games.
Kel'el Ware will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to boost stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has converted 25.4% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kel'el Ware has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The number of points put up against Alperen Sengun has been very low (11.1 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

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