Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 1:50 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has made 61.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year in regard to treys.
The number of three-point shots sunk against Jalen Duren has been very high (1.0 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The Pistons have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Miami Heat.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jalen Duren has been remarkably high (3.7 free throw attempts per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Kel'el Ware measures in the 19th percentile for 3-point efficiency with an unimpressive 26.0% rate this year.
Kel'el Ware has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league when playing at home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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