Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 8, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has sunk 70.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Kel'el Ware has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games at home, 6.7 higher than he's played overall this season at home.
The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The number of shots from the field against Zach Collins has been remarkably high (12.8 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which should increase opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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