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Kel'el Ware

Kel'el Ware Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kel'el Ware has made 5.6 buckets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season at home.

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 50.3% of his 3-point shots while at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.

Kel'el Ware has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 8.7 more than he's played in all games this year at home.

The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.

Kel'el Ware figures to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kel'el Ware has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The number of field goals converted against Karl-Anthony Towns has been remarkably low (5.0 per game) when he is on the road and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (13th percentile).

The least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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