Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has made 61.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 7.2% more than he's converted overall this year at home.
Kel'el Ware has attempted 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Kel'el Ware has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 11.3 higher than he's played in all games this season at home.
The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league at home this year.
The Heat will likely see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home.
While away from his home court and facing fellow starting Cs, Myles Turner rates in the 17th percentile with just 8.8 shots from the field against him per game this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Myles Turner has been quite low this year (2.9 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 7th percentile).

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