Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 26, 2025

Updated Feb 27, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has made 60.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 8.0% higher than he's converted overall this year with the home court advantage.
Kel'el Ware has attempted 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Kel'el Ware has played 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 12.8 higher than he's played in all games this year at home.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The matchup vs. Onyeka Okongwu is a positive one for shots from the field; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 58.5% of their field goal attempts (79th percentile).

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season at home.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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