Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 5.0 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Kel'el Ware has played 29.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 10.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's outstanding 14.0 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Olivier-Maxence Prosper is a strong one; he has given up a colossal 14.4 points per game when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (80th percentile).
Kel'el Ware has successfully made 89.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 13.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kel'el Ware is expected to see a decline in production in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this game.

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