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Kel'el Ware

Kel'el Ware Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2025

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kel'el Ware has converted 59.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 5.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Kel'el Ware has played 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 11.0 more than he's played over the course of the season at home.

In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat.

Kel'el Ware has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.6% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Kel'el Ware will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The showdown with Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 13th percentile with rival starting Cs nailing just 18.8% of their three-point shots this year when they are at home.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league when playing at home this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.

The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Kristaps Porzingis is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game (25th percentile).

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