Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Feb 4, 2025

Updated Feb 5, 2025 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has converted 58.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 7.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Kel'el Ware has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.1 more than he's averaged overall this year.
With respect to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's exceptional 14.2 converted threes per game places 6th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Nikola Vucevic is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.1 3-pointers per game (100th percentile).
The Heat will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Chicago Bulls).

Favors Under

Kel'el Ware has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kel'el Ware figures to see a decline in performance across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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