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Kel'el Ware

Kel'el Ware Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kel'el Ware has sunk 60.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Kel'el Ware has converted 1.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing at home.

Kel'el Ware has played 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 18.0 higher than he's played over the course of the season.

The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kel'el Ware has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a difficult one for shots from the field; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have made a measly 49.7% of their shot attempts from the field (3rd percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year.

The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Jarrett Allen has been remarkably low this year (2.4 free throws per game when they are on their home court: 20th percentile).

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