Kel'el Ware Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Kel'el Ware

NBA · Player Props

Kel'el Ware

C · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kel'el Ware has converted 61.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 9.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Kel'el Ware has played 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.5 more than he's played overall this season.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.
Kel'el Ware has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 24.6% more than he's made in all games this year.
Kel'el Ware will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a hard one for shots from the field; when Carter Jr. is on the road and defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 8.8 field goals per game (10th percentile).
The 2nd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

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