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Kel'el Ware

Kel'el Ware Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2025

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers

Kel'el Ware Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kel'el Ware has made 62.9% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 10.2% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Kel'el Ware has sunk 59.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 9.7% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season when playing at home.

As a team, the Miami Heat have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 7th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 22.6 foul shots per game.

Kel'el Ware is expected to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 29.6% on 3-pointers (4th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, labeling this as a challenging matchup.

The 4th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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