Keldon Johnson Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Steals

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 0.8 steals per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.
Keldon Johnson has played 28.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson comes in at the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year.
Keldon Johnson figures to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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