Keldon Johnson Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Steals

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 2:42 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 0.9 steals per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric recently.
Keldon Johnson has played 31.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower player performance for all stats.

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