Keldon Johnson Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Steals

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has posted 1.1 steals per game this year on the road, ranking him among the league's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 86th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has played 31.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the Trail Blazers).
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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