Keldon Johnson Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Steals

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +148 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has tallied 1.6 steals per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's tallied overall this season.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson lands in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Keldon Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production across the board.

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