Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has tallied 2.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Keldon Johnson stands to see a spike in productivity for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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