Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 10, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The 3rd-quickest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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