Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has totaled 5.0 rebounds per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 9th-best in in the NBA while at home with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Keldon Johnson is expected to see a spike in output across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

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