Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 1.3 offensive boards per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard in recent days.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been on the court for a lowly 23.2 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 29.6 minutes per game last year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs grade out 6thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Keldon Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance across the board.

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