Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has posted 1.3 offensive boards per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games.
The 2nd-speediest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Washington Wizards).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has averaged a measly 23.5 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 29.6 minutes per game last season.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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