Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 7, 2025

Updated Feb 8, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 4.7 rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 75th percentile.
The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 29.6 rate, Keldon Johnson's playing time has tailed off this year to 23.8 minutes per game.
The Hornets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson ought to see a decline in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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