Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 2:19 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has posted 1.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric over this stretch of games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Spurs have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Keldon Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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