Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has compiled 2.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's compiled overall this season.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has tallied just 24.6 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 29.6 minutes per game last season.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Keldon Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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