Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has posted 3.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 79th percentile.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 29.6 clip, Keldon Johnson's playing time has tailed off this season to 25.0 minutes per game.
The 6th-slowest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson figures to suffer a reduction in output across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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