Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has tallied 3.9 defensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 80th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been on the court for a lowly 24.9 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 29.6 minutes per game last season.
The Nets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

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