Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 25, 2024 9:34 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 4.0 defensive boards per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 80th percentile.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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