Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 5.0 defensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the league leaders by this metric in recent days: 87th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will likely see an increase in productivity in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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