Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has compiled 5.1 defensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category over this stretch: 86th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 8 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Spurs.
The Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

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