Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 19, 2024

Updated Nov 20, 2024 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+114/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has totaled 4.9 defensive boards per game at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo away team in the league this year (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 10.6 offensive boards per game over the last 14 games.
Keldon Johnson should get a boost in efficiency across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

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