Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 3.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.6 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.
Keldon Johnson has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Pacers).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.2 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
Away from their home court, the Pacers have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 6 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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