Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 3.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Spurs.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 10thbest in in the NBA while at home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this season at home.
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 12.5 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Thunder (maintaining possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).

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