Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 1:33 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has posted 2.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.6 minutes per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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