Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has compiled 2.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's compiled in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 30.7 minutes per game this year.
The most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
This year when they are at home, the other team has grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
Keldon Johnson will likely see a rise in production in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Spurs rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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