Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has compiled 4.5 defensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category in recent games: 86th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 30.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 82nd percentile.
The fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson ought to see a rise in efficiency for all stats on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 7thworst in in the league with only 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has grabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers (maintaining possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense).

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