Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 2:38 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 4.8 defensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best by this standard in recent games: 87th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 31.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Thunder have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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