Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 4.5 defensive boards per game this year on the road, placing him among the league leaders in this category in recent days: 85th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 30.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the 76ers).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson rates in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The 76ers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board as a result of being on the road in this game.

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